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March 2026 Newsletter

Current Events and Long Term Consequences

Dear All,

The news is full of current affairs such as the war on Iran, a potential shortage of oil and much discord in many places.

Most of these items strike me as short term uncertainties. They are very important for many people and countries and important to consider if you are about to make a major decision, but so far may not be consequential for Australian investors in the long term.

That can change quickly, even overnight as is always the case.

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However, in the last two months there has been a massive shift behind the scenes and I suspect that shift will have consequences for us:

Creating software has suddenly become much, much easier. Two good software developers are now – with the latest AI models – able to do the work that took a team of ten just a few months ago. That development is not finished.

I expect that this means a large number of people will lose their job but there will also be a whole lot of new jobs being created. For example, at the moment, if you graduate even from a prestigious university with excellent grades in computer science or software engineering it is almost impossible to get an entry-level job but on the other hand, open positions for software developers went up 30% in the last months as people are realising just how much more can be done than before.

In addition, the fact that a subject matter expert can build web applications, even complex and powerful ones, without having any idea how to write programs will lead to lots of opportunities.

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Within a few years robots are likely available that look like a human shape and that can do a lot of things for elderly care where there is a huge amount of unmet demand while at night they can prepare meals to be delivered the next day or restack shelves at Coles or Woolworths.

Also, Tesla’s self-driving works. Within a short time I expect we will call a driverless Uber or taxi and it will get us where we want to go, probably at a lower cost than now. Those who want to have a car, can buy one that drives itself which is very useful for those who are losing confidence in their driving and, statistically, this self-driving is much safer than humans.

On the other hand the number of fake videos and well-written but lifeless communications will explode. Writing will also become better and better at appealing to our emotions, marketing will get more targeted which may not be a good idea at all as they may target our weaknesses, and the ability to control communications will likely increase. One redeeming feature is that when people see an AI-generated person in a picture or video and realise it is AI, they immediately lose interest completely. I am very glad about that.

There will have to be a lot more vigilance with one bank giving out $1 billion in loans to fraudulent applications who used – guess what – AI to forge documents convincingly. Also cyber security may get much more sophisticated as it is now possible to clone a voice from just a few recorded words such as from a cold call.

Therefore vigilance and double checking when money is involved is hugely important. Any time a large amount of money is moved one should verify account details in multiple ways such as over the phone. Some time in the future, even a familiar voice may not be enough, one needs to ask the other person a question only they know the answer to but we may be some time away from that yet.

Tradies and people who work person to person could be the big winners from these changes. For investors, there will be lots of winners and losers among companies and the simplest way to pick all the winners is to buy the entire stockmarket (index funds) which is my favourite strategy.

Coming back to the current war. The best case scenario is that a regime that has committed many vile acts may be on its last legs. Another scenario is that those legs can still twitch but, unless the outcome suddenly becomes uncertain, I don’t see a substantial long term effect.

Coming back to the current war. The best case scenario is that a regime that has committed many vile acts may be on its last legs. Another scenario is that those legs can still twitch but, unless the outcome suddenly becomes uncertain, I don’t see a substantial long term effect on markets.

As always if you have any questions about this or any other matter we are here to support you

Warm Regards,

Christoph and Team:

Nicola, Marian, Alvin, Lin, Ann-Marie, Michael and RJ. 

Dr Christoph Schnelle

Financial Adviser and Life Insurance Specialist
In Your Interest Financial Planning
t: 1800 332 225
w: www.inyourinterest.com.au
e: service@inyourinterest.com.au

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